Close

Welcome back to Stockhouse
Member Sign In

Email or Username:
Password:
Close

Become a member today, It's free!

We will not release or resell your information to third parties without your permission.

Enter your email address:
By providing my email, I consent to receiving investment related electronic messages from Stockhouse.

How the Bernanke asset bubble ends

Dr. Steve Sjuggerud
0 Comments|June 5, 2013

It won't end well

Yasushi Mieno made it his personal mission to prick the largest bubble in financial history.
 

He succeeded.
 

You may not know his name... but you need to understand his story. It will help you understand exactly when to get out of this incredible stock-market and real-estate boom before it busts. 
 

Let me explain... 
 

Stocks continue to soar – up 16% so far this year. U.S. home prices are up 12% in the last 12 months.
 

Long time readers understand why asset prices are moving higher. It's the Bernanke Asset Bubble.
 

Remember, this is the simple idea that asset prices – like stocks and real estate – can soar to unimaginable heights, thanks to the Federal Reserve's commitment to printing money and keeping interest rates at zero for years. 
 

Of course, this won't end well. But we need to hold on as long as possible. Based on history, we need to hang on until we see the next Mieno... 
 

Mieno took over Japan's central bank on December 17, 1989. At the time, Japan was in an insane stock-market and property bubble... 
 

To give you an idea of how extreme Japan's asset bubble was, the real estate grounds of the Imperial Palace in Tokyo were supposedly worth more than the entire real-estate value of California. 
 

Mieno thought Japan's asset bubble had gotten ridiculous. So he made it his personal mission to prick Japan's bubble in stocks and real estate. 
 

Just one week after taking office – on Christmas Day 1989 – he raised interest rates. Four days later, Japan's benchmark stock index – the Nikkei – reached its all-time peak. It then started falling. 
 

But the property market didn't fall... 
 

So Mieno raised rates again. And again... and again. He raised them a total of six times until they reached 6% in August 1990. 
 

That did the trick. Property prices started to collapse, too. 
 

Japan has never recovered... Property prices and stock prices are still dramatically lower today – 23 years later – than they were in 1990.
 

So will the same thing happen in the U.S.? When is it time to start worrying that the current boom will end? 
 

In the past, I've answered those questions with a number... The boom will end "when inflation rises above 5%." 
 

But we also need to look out for the next Mieno in the U.S. – the next government official who is powerful enough to change things... and decides that stocks and real estate must come down. 
 

Just as Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke has single-handedly pumped up the U.S. stock market and real-estate market today, Mieno single-handedly brought down Japan's stock and property markets in 1990. 
 

Bernanke is our Bubble Man. His policies are putting money in our pockets through the stock and real-estate markets. 
 

But who is the next Mieno? Who is the person who will take it all away from us? 
 

I try to have the answers for you here in DailyWealth – or at least give you my best guess – but I don't know yet.
 

I CAN tell you he or she likely won't get here before 2015. As I've explained before, the Bernanke Asset Bubble will continue at least that long. 
 

And until the next Mieno arrives, we have the opportunity to make a lot of money...
 

http://www.stansberryresearch.com/dailywealth/2415/end-us-stock-real-estate-bubble 

Tags:

Rate this article
0 stars
v
Usefulness

Clarity

Credibility
Add to favourites icon Add to favourites

Comments

No comments yet. Be first to comment!

Leave a Message

You must be logged in to access this feature.