Seems pretty simple - price low until results; if results good then price goes up and Statoil stays for Phase II. Results no good then price goes down a little more or stays the same - and maybe Statoil leaves; then financing at low level.
Only unknown - even if results good - market is so bad the price stay low - and still low financing.
Very funny stock - strange price and trade. Happy ending good for everyone - horizontal sect. is a long, long leg - sometimes a flood of oil.
Better for Statoil to buy us out but share price has to be higher.