For those who are interested here's a pattern.

 

The long down trend pattern seems to be one of down 40 to 50% up 40 to 50% repeat. But you need to bare in mind that when a stock retreats 50% from say 1.00 to .50 cents and then rises of 50 % it would only return to .75 cents.

 

So if you consult a long term chart you'll see that all the the most pronounced peaks and falls

Look like this   (The dreaded lower highs and lower lows)

Feb 03, 2011   1.14               June 17, 2011   .58

July 26, 2011     .98               Aug 08, 2011    .69

Sept 16, 2011    .89               Dec 28, 2011    .40

Feb 03, 2012     .68               May 16, 2012    .30

June 15, 2012   .48               Aug 31, 2012     .28

Sept 19, 2012   .41               Dec --   2012      .21  hypothetical

 

 

So personally speaking I don't believe that unless we get some news that this slide will abate until we hit .21 to .22 and then repeat the above pattern which should, in theory, carry the share price back to about .30 cents. This would also tie in with the seasonal rally we have seen in GWG over the last few years.

 

Strictly for those of you who believe, blood, bones and tea leaves.