ALLEN4 - I share the sentiment that .44 (or is it .43 now?) is a ridiculously low price, but just because the prospect of the price trading down into the .30s and .20s is unpleasant doesn't mean it should be ignored.   If it's September and you see winter coming, but you don't like winter do you just pretend that it's not going to show up?  Or say, 'sure it might get cold, but it's going to be spring eventually so I don't need to put on a coat'?  That's a recipe for freezing to death.