Look in the world of asked and answered:

UO  Q to HT . Do you believe the deal  has a  99.999% probability of getting done. A. Yes

HT Q to UO    Are you prepared to jump out of a plane from 1,000 ft without a chute on January 2, if it doesn't get done on  the  31, because the guys that are supposed to sign on the 31 get killed in a plane crash on December 30th?  Yes or No A. ?