Daily Gas Flows (Comments)

.....NATGAS: With all but two of the weeklies in, modeling bumps up to 90 BCF injected on the EIA-weighted .....model (101 BCF on capacity / gas-flow modeling) for Thursdays EIA report.. Baseline for the week .....is for an 84 BCF injection, scoring the week as 6 BCF to-the-bearish (EIA-wtd.) or 17 BCF to-the-bearish .....(capacity / gas-flow modeling). 

.....Next weeks early gas-flow counts climb to 52 BCF injected thus far (EIA-weighted model), probably headed .....again to a low-90's injection for next Thursdays EIA report, as we gradually edge down (June style) from the .....seasonal Memorial-Day-Weekend peak. 



.....ECONOMICS: The industrial-production index continues higher, now up to 121.5 as it attempts to climb .....toward its March 27th high (124.8). Consumption model climbs to 191.0 and sets another high. Economy .....remains well-supported by the tandem move for the time being. 



.....PRODUCTION / RESIDENTIAL & COMMERCIAL MODELING: Production Model remains in audit with problems .....still to be resolved. Rewrote one model over the Memorial-Day weekend, and another (already in the model) .....appears to be skewed by withdrawals and needs to be rebuilt. R&C continues to be impacted by the skew issues 
.....(it has been turned into a "balancing item" .....by the other models) which will be dealt with in time by the .....replacement of the EIA-weighted model with the new (presumed more accurate) capacity model. (The storage .....demand category (also off) still represents the EIA-weighted model, but aside from the R&C, production, and .....storage models all other models (Generation, Industrial, Import, and Export) are walled off from the skew and .....production-counting problems, and presumed accurate). 



Natgas scheduling to refineries... 
...................................Scheduling 
...................Day........... (MMCF) 
...............05/18/13.(w)......374 
...............05/19/13.(w)......371 
...............05/20/13............352 
...............05/21/13............346 
...............05/22/13............319 
...............05/23/13............318 
...............05/24/13............371i 

...............05/25/13.(w)......365 
...............05/26/13.(w)......365 
...............05/27/13............376 
...............05/28/13............356 
...............05/29/13............343 
...............05/30/13............329 
...............05/31/13............325 

...............06/01/13.(w)......344 
...............06/02/13.(w)......353 
...............06/03/13............360 
...............06/04/13............379 
...............06/05/13............378 
...............06/06/13............357 
...............06/07/13............366 

...............06/08/13.(w)......361 
...............06/09/13.(w)......361 
...............06/10/13............380 
...............06/11/13............384 
...............06/12/13............356 
...............06/13/13............365i 
...............06/14/13............380i 

...............06/15/13.(w)......393 
...............06/16/13.(w)......382i 
...............06/17/13............382i 
...............(w) = weekend (Saturday/Sunday) 



Today's economic numbers... 

...............Weeklies.....Production........Consumption 
...............04/13/13.............122.2.................165.1 
...............04/20/13.............122.4.................165.3 
...............04/27/13.............123.0.................171.1 
...............05/04/13.............123.6.................173.4 
...............05/11/13.............123.6.................174.1 
...............05/18/13.............122.1.................174.0 
...............05/25/13.............120.1.................175.8 
...............06/01/13.............119.6.................177.8 
...............06/08/13.............119.9.................183.4 
...............06/15/13.............121.2.................189.8 

.........................................---28 week avg---........---Daily (Raw)---......Daily 
................Dailies..............Prod'n.....Cons'n........Prod'n.....Cons'n......Food 
...............05/18/13.............122.2.......173.6r.........1.842.......35.28.......54283 
...............05/19/13.............121.9.......173.8r.........1.842.......35.28.......55559 
...............05/20/13.............121.6.......173.7r.........1.845.......35.28.......54656 
...............05/21/13.............121.3.......173.6r.........1.843.......35.23.......54536 
...............05/22/13.............121.0.......174.0r.........1.836.......42.33.......54567 
...............05/23/13.............120.5.......174.4r.........1.825.......45.23.......54860 
...............05/24/13.............120.3.......175.0r.........1.935.......45.23.......54145 
...............05/25/13.............120.1.......175.4r.........1.895.......43.16.......55344 
...............05/26/13.............119.9.......175.6r.........1.900.......43.16.......55173 
...............05/27/13.............119.8.......175.8r.........1.907.......43.16.......54799 
...............05/28/13.............119.7.......176.1r.........1.890.......43.16.......52242 
...............05/29/13.............119.7.......176.2r.........1.937.......41.96.......59981 
...............05/30/13.............119.5.......176.2r.........1.881.......41.41.......56003 
...............05/31/13.............119.5.......176.7r.........1.924.......41.41.......58514 
...............06/01/13.............119.6.......177.5r.........1.927.......36.19.......50949 
...............06/02/13.............119.7.......178.2r.........1.934.......36.19.......50274 
...............06/03/13.............119.8.......178.8r.........1.926.......35.88.......48699 
...............06/04/13.............119.9.......179.9r.........1.926.......39.82.......49776 
...............06/05/13.............119.9.......181.0r.........1.908.......39.82.......49532 
...............06/06/13.............119.8.......181.8r.........1.917.......38.82.......49700 
...............06/07/13.............119.9.......182.7r.........1.956.......38.92r......49808 
...............06/08/13.............119.9.......183.3r.........1.922.......37.25.......49971 
...............06/09/13.............120.0.......183.8r.........1.927.......37.25.......49567 
...............06/10/13.............120.2.......184.2r.........1.936.......36.85.......49997 
...............06/11/13.............120.3.......185.1r.........1.924.......43.35.......51569 
...............06/12/13.............120.4.......186.0..........1.889i......42.35i......52657i 
...............06/13/13.............120.6.......187.3..........1.912i......45.25i......48826i 
...............06/14/13.............120.9.......188.6..........1.927i......45.25i......48671i 
...............06/15/13.............121.2.......189.8..........1.940i......45.25i......48391i 
...............06/16/13.............121.5i......191.0..........1.925i......45.22i......47990i 
...............06/17/13................n/a...........n/a..............n/a........45.34i......46043i