Daily Gas Flows (Comments) 

.....NATGAS: All weeklies are in, and EIA-weighted modeling stays at 87 BCF. Baseline for the week was for a 95 BCF build, suggesting .....the weeks activities as 7 BCF to-the-bullish. 
 
.....ECONOMICS: Industrial flows continue to suggest a short-term drift, with a slight downward-bias as stronger days fall off of the back .....end of the models 28-day moving averages. Food-group scheduling continues to look supportive (as does the Federal Reserve) and .....I think the overall direction probably has more up than down to it once the pause is over. Risks probably are more on the emotional .....side (consumer) where a equities correction or political sabre-rattling could inject worry into the economy. However, absent anything .....emotional getting in the way I think the economy remains supported. 



.....PRODUCTION / RESIDENTIAL & COMMERCIAL MODELING: Production Model remains in audit with problems still to be resolved. ....Will be adding one more new pipe to the production model shortly, while another (already in the model) appears to be skewed by 
.....withdrawals and needs to be rebuilt. R&C continues to be impacted by the skew issues (it has been turned into a "balancing item" .....by the other models) which will be dealt with in time by the replacement of the EIA-weighted model with the new (presumed more ....accurate) capacity model. (The storage demand category (also off) still represents the EIA-weighted model, but aside from the R&C, .....production, and storage models all other models (Generation, Industrial, Import, and Export) are walled off from the skew and .....production-counting problems, and presumed accurate). 



Natgas scheduling to refineries... 
...................................Scheduling 
...................Day........... (MMCF) 
...............04/06/13.(w)......400 
...............04/07/13.(w)......406 
...............04/08/13............398 
...............04/09/13............387 
...............04/10/13............379 
...............04/11/13............387 
...............04/12/13............438 

...............04/13/13.(w)......423 
...............04/14/13.(w)......422 
...............04/15/13............435 
...............04/16/13............425 
...............04/17/13............410 
...............04/18/13............388 
...............04/19/13............402 

...............04/20/13.(w)......415 
...............04/21/13.(w)......418 
...............04/22/13............415 
...............04/23/13............407 
...............04/24/13............372 
...............04/25/13............404 
...............04/26/13............394 

...............04/27/13.(w)......405 
...............04/28/13.(w)......394 
...............04/29/13............395 
...............04/30/13............359 
...............05/01/13............395 
...............05/02/13............405 
...............05/03/13............370 

...............05/04/13.(w)......384 
...............05/05/13.(w)......380 
...............05/06/13............388 
...............05/07/13............397 
...............05/08/13............390 
...............05/09/13............396 
...............05/10/13............386 

...............05/11/13.(w)......401i 
...............05/12/13.(w)......391i 
...............05/13/13............395i 
...............05/14/13............398i 
...............(w) = weekend (Saturday/Sunday) 



Today's economic numbers... 

...............Weeklies.....Production........Consumption 
...............03/09/13.............122.7.................162.8 
...............03/16/13.............123.7.................170.0 
...............03/23/13.............124.5.................177.0 
...............03/30/13.............124.6.................173.3 
...............04/06/13.............123.1.................168.2 
...............04/13/13.............122.2.................165.1 
...............04/20/13.............122.4.................165.3 
...............04/27/13.............123.0.................171.1 
...............05/04/13.............123.6.................173.4 
...............05/11/13.............123.6.................174.1 

.........................................---28 week avg---........---Daily (Raw)---......Daily 
................Dailies..............Prod'n.....Cons'n........Prod'n.....Cons'n......Food 
...............04/13/13.............122.2.......165.1..........2.065.......40.68.......54107 
...............04/14/13.............122.3.......165.5..........2.050.......40.68.......54603 
...............04/15/13.............122.4.......165.7..........2.061.......40.68.......53941 
...............04/16/13.............122.4.......165.7..........1.995.......37.76.......53524 
...............04/17/13.............122.5.......165.7..........1.931.......37.76.......53357 
...............04/18/13.............122.5.......165.8..........1.946.......38.26.......55203 
...............04/19/13.............122.4.......165.7..........1.937.......38.29.......55958 
...............04/20/13.............122.4.......165.3..........2.006.......37.79.......58031 
...............04/21/13.............122.3.......164.8..........1.975.......37.79.......58718 
...............04/22/13.............122.4.......164.5..........1.995.......37.87.......58092 
...............04/23/13.............122.4.......164.5..........1.951.......37.87.......56302 
...............04/24/13.............122.4.......166.3..........2.003.......37.87.......55138 
...............04/25/13.............122.7.......168.4..........2.049.......39.84.......54105 
...............04/26/13.............122.9.......169.7..........2.035.......38.54.......53916 
...............04/27/13.............123.0.......171.1..........1.990.......38.89.......56684 
...............04/28/13.............123.1.......172.8..........1.987.......38.89.......55279 
...............04/29/13.............123.2.......173.2..........1.952.......38.89.......56023 
...............04/30/13.............123.5.......173.2..........1.982.......37.29.......58878 
...............05/01/13.............123.5.......173.2..........1.926.......36.52.......51030 
...............05/02/13.............123.6.......173.2..........1.954.......36.52.......50233 
...............05/03/13.............123.6.......173.2..........1.920.......36.52.......50023 
...............05/04/13.............123.6.......173.4..........1.910.......36.52.......50751 
...............05/05/13.............123.5.......173.8..........1.892.......36.52.......50468 
...............05/06/13.............123.4.......174.2..........1.904.......36.52.......49795 
...............05/07/13.............123.6.......174.5..........1.915.......36.52.......51281 
...............05/08/13.............123.7.......174.6..........1.917.......35.72.......50358 
...............05/09/13.............123.9.......174.5..........1.975.......35.72.......51356 
...............05/10/13.............123.8.......174.5..........1.968.......35.72.......51375 
...............05/11/13.............123.6.......174.1..........1.953i......35.12i.......52482i 
...............05/12/13.............123.4.......173.6..........1.930i......35.12i.......53360i 
...............05/13/13.............123.2i......173.3i.........1.912i......35.12i.......50548i 
...............05/14/13................n/a...........n/a..............n/a.......35.12i.......50641i