Issues are yes winter not over but trading March soon to be April.traders are already pricing in enough gas to meet the needs.So you need extended cold through March to keep the bull alive........Already hearing some analysts chirping of retest of 2.20 again one more time this spring shoulder season.....Never say never..I doubt it well lets not kid ourselves a lot of companies more than willing to turn on taps fill storage up to get any cashflow going again.Then you need the summer to be hot again.....The trade we all need to be rady for and get ahead of will be anticipation of first LNG shipments...........I would think mninimum 6 months ahead or sooner to be not left out of the game