Only a gamble if you play very short term.  look at the bigger picture......Who has the big money? Where is the big money expected to go? How will the big money get there?
Simple answer, NG inventory # has been controled from a surplus of 60% in May to a lower inventory  then last year and we have yet to see any cold weather for the winter heating season. Where is NG going? Higher!!!!!

Big money has already provided us with their view on NG reaching $5.  NG will reach $5, especially with current metrics in place.......production has been cut, rigs have been reduced, LNG export plans already in motion......Today's draw, next weeks draw and anticipation that we will not see 2 mild winters in a row are all drivers of $5+ NG......