I sold preinventory at cost and bought 2/3rd position at  14.50 to 14.75.My views are this weeks number is highly volatile from year to year and includes a 2-3 day industrial holiday with US thansgiving.......Last year was only a minus one...Any event we are at the same storage now as last year and 2010.Still the whole 100% of winter heating season to effect the price.With long range forecasts only 2 weeks out  way too early to throw in the towel.