I've been banging the table for the last six months about remaining optimistic during bear markets, and becoming incrementally more excited about a particular investment class as the markets appear bleaker. Since the beginning of September, mid-tier and major gold mining companies have rocketed higher. At this time, they are no longer at "catastrophic" level pricing as they were just 30+ days ago.
However, the junior resource exploration market still offers an entry at disaster-level pricing. The ratio of GDX to many junior exploration plays is varying between 500-800 to 1, while in the previous three years, the average was about 100-200 to 1. In my opinion, this moment may be a twilight, the slow and precise tipping-point moment in which the explorers edge up ever so slightly---right before a historic boom. What I mean by boom, is many of these companies moving up in price by 200%-400% in a matter of days, weeks and months. We saw this type of action occur following the 2008-2009 crash, and we will see it again.
Here is a ratio chart of one of my favorite junior explorers. A snap-back reversion to the mean prior to this summer, equates to 150%+ move.

Many analysts comment that money needs to first move into the upper echelons of the mining sector, before trickling down to the explorers. This is a given. However, the timing of this process cannot be fully predicted, and when it occurs, it happens in a flash. By concluding that you will "wait" for the money to come back in first...is almost like saying, I'll buy a life preserver when the ship starts sinking.
We are still in a market environment in which risk is abhorred...and for retail investors, this is the perfect time to take positions in low-volume juniors, without driving share prices up. Our advantage in this market (being non-institutional investors), is our size. As mice, we can move in with agility, and calmly wait for the ground vibrations of "risk-on" elephants...who will always return to the feed.
After three plus years of waiting and hard work, I've identified a small handful of junior explorers, and I've added them to my overall list of favorite mining stocks. I expect them to perform exceptionally well in the coming months and years as we move into the next speculative mining cycle.
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