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How do you value?


dwothers
1 star

3359 Reads | 49 Comments | 1 People call this a favourite

My stock ramblings. I'm no expert but I do math, indeed I teach math. If I've given you something to thing about, good, bad or indifferent on your stock market choices, I'd love the feedback in a comment. And I'd like to know if you think I've missed something in my analysis. I'm definitely for fair valuation of stocks, based on their ability to make money and their asset valuation.


  • More tables


    98 Reads | 1 Comment | January 6, 2008

       Rate (%)  Total Payment(for $100k Mortgage)  Priced at 5.5% yield  3 151,000 74,700  3.5 161,000 79,500   4 171,000 84,500  4.5 181,000 89,500  5 191,000 94,700  5.5 202,000 100,000  6 213,000 105,500  6.5 224,000 111,100  7 236,000 116,700  ...


  • tables


    106 Reads | 0 Comments | December 10, 2007

     Year  6% PV  4.5% PV 2002   5,584 6,438  2003 5,919 6,729  2004 6,274  7,032  2005 6,651 7,348  2006 7,050  7,679  2007 7,473  8,025  2008 7,921 8,386 2009  8,396  8,763  2010 8,900   9,157  2011 9,434  9,569 ...


  • Gold – What’s in a Currency?


    51 Reads | 0 Comments | October 4, 2007

      Whether a currency is weak or strong seriously affects buying power.  Being Canadian, I have traveled the US when it took $1.50-1.60 to buy one US dollar.  It keeps the cost of imports expensive.  It helps export businesses and it helps tourism as people from countries with strong currencies see tremendous value in their vacations.Gold is not a currency, but it does act...


  • Declining Gold Grade – Cost disadvantages linear?


    60 Reads | 3 Comments | August 25, 2007

     This is an analysis that I have been meaning to do for a while that simply looks at how mining a declining ore grade affects costs.  This is a particularly important analysis for investors of gold stocks as my sense of the market is that the grades of gold being mined are declining faster than any other commodity, and additionally, replacement reserves for gold companies are...


  • Copper $1.50 Next Year?


    80 Reads | 0 Comments | July 29, 2007

    Stockhouse is not user friendly.  Properly formated write-up is at Makingsenseofmyworld.Some things you read stop you mid-step and send you re-evaluating what makes sense to you.  Early I posted that I believe the average price on commodities would be higher than they have been.  The evidence shows that companies were cannibalizing...


  • Exploring Declining Grade


    134 Reads | 0 Comments | July 26, 2007

    In 1905 the Bingham Canyon mine opened mining a copper grade of 2%.  Last year the grade they mined was 0.63% and the reserves they have left to mine have a grade of 0.54%.  In 2003 Goldcorp's Red Lake mine mined a gold grade of 77.5 g/ton, and 28 g/ton in 2006.  These are a couple examples of a trend of declining grade in individual mines and within the industry as a whole...


  • Paladin Resources Ltd - A Near Term Uranium Produc


    109 Reads | 0 Comments | July 26, 2007

    On my post on Cameco, which has little ability to take advantage of uranium spot prices because of long term hedge contracts, I was asked about uranium producers able to take advantage of the current spot prices like near term/new uranium producer Paladin.Fully diluted Paladin Resources Ltd has 600,989,245 shares (May 14, 2007).  Today it closed at $8.12 giving it a fully diluted market...


  • Commodity posts over to Infomine


    86 Reads | 0 Comments | May 30, 2007

    I have been been mirroring much of my blog on blogger because of the poor interface on Stockhouse and simply problems with posting links.  As of yesterday Infomine is carrying my blog posts on commodities at http://makingsenseofmyworld.blog.infomine.com/.