Taking it to the streets. Stockhouse.com: Taking it to the street
 
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The Japanese tragedy provided the ammunition needed by the anti-industrial left, at a time when the nuclear plants were growing old, and needing repair.

Deutschland (NYSE: EWG, Stock Forum) is taking the wrong road again.  It is a decision that is political and irrational motivated in response to the Green Party.  It makes one wonder what some politicians do to try to get elected. 

The leaders of German Industry have written an open letter stating that the ending of German Nuclear Energy with such “unprecedented haste” gives us increasing worry. 

Germany has been the crown industrial jewel maintaining a profitable economy in the heartland of an otherwise deficit ridden Europe.  The Chief Executive of Daimler Motors voiced fear about Germany’s abrupt about face in nuclear policy.

The huge power requirements of Germany’s heavy manufacturing companies which are the flower of the European economy, will now be dependent on power sources from France and Russia.   Could this be a potential black swan?

Germany’s electricity prices which have more than doubled in the last ten years, now become a sensitive issue for German Industry.  This nuclear transition is forcing an increased reliance not only on coal (NYSE: KOL, Stock Forum) but nuclear energy from France (NYSE: EWQ, Stock Forum) and natural gas (NYSE: UNG, Stock Forum) from Russia. 

This is no way to run a modern industrial nation. 

Angela Merkel, the current Prime Minister is running scared and scuttling Europe’s (NYSE: FXE, Stock Forum) most advanced modern industrial machine. 

It is important that readers be aware that the left socialist based anti-nuclear movement in Germany was strong long before Fukushima.  The Japanese tragedy provided the ammunition needed by the anti-industrial left.  The nuclear plants (NYSE: NLR, Stock Forum) were growing old in need of revamping. 

Chancellor Schroder who preceded Merkel was sympathetic to the Green Party and committed to a nuclear (NYSE: URA, Stock Forum) phase-out plan by 2022.  Merkel’s response in late 2010 was to attempt to extend the nuclear exit by 12 additional years. 

Many riots and demonstrations occurred in response to Merkel’s move.  She was under pressure to give in to Socialist demands when Fukushima provided the immediate excuse for Merkel to reverse her policy and decide to close all of Germany’s Nuclear Plants.  Now you know the rest of the story. 

 We see that Germany’s decision to forsake their nuclear reactors was a long time coming.  This is despite Merkel’s statement which was misleading when she said, “After what was an unimaginable disaster at Fukushima, we had to reconsider the role of nuclear energy.”  She announced the decision at a news conference in the presence of several of her cabinet ministers to close all of the reactors by 2022.     

This is a sharp policy reversal that will make Germany the first major modern industrial nation to abandon nuclear power.  Merkel’s move is in contrast with the U.S. (NYSE: SPY, Stock Forum), China (NYSE: FXI, Stock Forum), India, Russia (NYSE: EU.RBL, Stock Forum) and many other countries who are continuing full speed ahead with safe and up to date nuclear power plants. 

There are currently 62 modern and efficient power plants being built all over the world including 27 in China, 5 in India, 11 in Russia and even 2 in Japan (NYSE: EWJ, Stock Forum) among many others that have elected to continue turning on nuclear power (NYSE: URA, Stock Forum).  In fact, uranium is fast approaching a supply-demand deficit and a possible shortage in uranium ore (NYSE: PKN, Stock Forum). 

There are 443 operating reactors, which does not include new plants coming online, which need over 180 million pounds of uranium annually.  The world produces only 130 million pounds a year.  Already there is a shortfall of 50 million pounds annually which is being filled until 2013 by the Russian Highly Enriched Uranium Agreement.  The Russian’s have made it clear that they will not renew this agreement after 2013, as they will need the fuel for their own needs.      

Meanwhile, the Nuclear Regulatory Commission which oversees nuclear power in the U.S. has been conducting special investigations into nuclear reactors.  The Chairman of the NRC has expressed confidence in the safety of the American Nuclear Reactors and U.S. utilities are purchasing all available supplies of ore. 

Additionally the French Prime Minister recently said, “We think nuclear energy is the solution for the future.” 

One must always be aware that the German decision is politically driven.  The move to end nuclear will increase energy prices and imperil German competitiveness.  

Gold Stock Trades is focusing a strong eye on the most promising uranium miners in the U.S. which may soar as the Russian HEU Agreement concludes in 2013.  Some low cost in situ uranium miners appear to be forming bases while the higher cost miners are hitting new lows.

 
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Jeb Handwerger

Handwerger is an independent analyst and newsletter writer who started to develop a passion for technical analysis at the age of 11. He has a Masters Degree in mathematics. http://goldstocktrades.com



 
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Comments
Germany is not doing this without a plan on how to supply their energy needs without nuclear. They are revamping their long distance transmission lines to take power from the north to the south and in paralell building large wind farms in both the North Sea and the Baltic Sea, where the wind blows most of the year. They will also install major voltaic systems around the country so that the alternative power generation will become a major feature of the German grid. The problems with nukes (besides safety) is that the costs keep coming for years after the reactors have been retired. Germany does not want to see large areas having to be abandoned as has happened around Chernobyl and in Japan.
When night falls, take a look in your own home and count how many lights you have on. Energy demands are not going away. I see it every single evening with the countless number of lights on in empty homes and offices. There are only a handful of sources of electricity and nuclear is one of them. And still is and will be for a long time, the most powerful, efficient and cleanest for of powersource. Nothing to do with Germany or any other country. It's just a fact. As mentioned already, Italy has been out for many years already. Their comments are really pointless. Switzerland's nuclear accounts for 40% of its power, so it will have vey few options to replace. They'll most likely have to buy it from another country that still has nuclear. Kind of pointless actually. It just moves the plants out of their own country. Germany's elimination of nuclear is a decade away. I have no doubt another Chancellor could overturn that decision by then.
Actually Italy has not used nuclear reactors since the last plants were closed in 1990. An extremely smart move. After the Fukushima catastrophe a vote was held, (which is binding), that will enforce a construction ban on any new reactors. Another smart move. Angela Merkel is too busy attempting to rob Greece blind of its precious assets via a Deutsche Bank bailout. Sorry Jeb but your bias towards Germany isn't fooling anyone!
your leaving out Switzerland and Italy which are also abandoning nuclear . the three of them are not afraid of angela they are afraid of poisoning their countries for ever .
 
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