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Investors' fears over the health of the Big Three have been growing steadily.

General Motors (NYSE: GM, Stock Forum), the world’s largest carmaker, has seen its shares sink to their lowest level since September 1954, sparking concerns about its future.

Yesterday, shares in the company closed down 15% at $9.98, which, as a result, sent the Dow Jones industrial average into bear territory, with a fall of 166.75 points to 11,215.51.

John Murphy of investment bank, Merrill Lynch (NYSE: MER, Stock Forum), said that GM needs a capital infusion of approximately £7.5 billion ($15 billion) and that it had not acknowledged the stress in the capital markets.

Mr. Murphy said bankruptcy is not impossible if the market continues to deteriorate and significant incremental capital is not raised.

Merrill Lynch’s warning is the harshest yet, but investors’ fears over the health of the three largest U.S. carmakers, GM, Ford (NYSE: F, Stock Forum), and Chrysler (NYSE: DKX, Stock Forum), have been growing steadily, largely due to the fact that petrol continues to rise, denting consumer confidence.

GM’s sales fell 18% in June, compared with June 2007. However, this was still a better performance than its close rivals.

However, GM said that it has enough capital for 2008 and said it believes it has sufficient liquidity for the year despite lower volumes. Should conditions continue to deteriorate, we would consider other operating measures, said the company.

The average price of petrol in the U.S. is just over $4 a gallon, an increase of over 35% in just one year.

U.S. consumers are cutting back on spending and the spiralling petrol costs means motorists are switching to smaller vehicles.

David Healy, an analyst from Burnham Securities, believes that GM is unlikely to file for bankruptcy. However, conditions in the car industry are challenging for everybody currently, particularly for GM, which is why people see this as plausible, he added.

Last month, GM announced it was to close a number of plants in North America and Mexico that make trucks and sport utility vehicles.

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Comments
GM is indeed an unlikely prospect for a BK filing, but its ability to sustain its North American Operations at their current level is indeed doubtful. They will have to cut back, and that will mean both losses of jobs and lost sales. They have to depend on China and their overseas operations for both growth and profits. As a long time resident of Michigan this is going to be equally painful on at state that has close to 8.5% unemployment and a Billion dollar state deficit.
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